Since everyone is saying this nomination is a question of math and a "numbers game." I thought it might be fun to throw out some numbers of my own.
- $11 million+ - the amount of money that Barack Obama spent on media advertisements in Pennsylvania, which is a record for a primary election. If his message is so resonant, shouldn't this have sealed the deal for him?
- $2.5 million+ - the amount of money that Hillary raised from the point of the announcement of her win in Pennsylvania until just before midnight. Plus, 80% of it was from new donors. So, the American people want this to end? SHUT UP Chris Matthews and Keith Olbermann!
- 121,943 - This is the popular vote lead that Hillary now has if you do not disenfranchise the voters of Michigan and Florida. Say what you will about the delegates being seated, but you cannot disavow these voters. It was Barack Obama's choice to take his name off the ballot in Michigan, and he should pay the price for the political short sidedness.
- 2,024 - The amount of delegates either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton need to clinch the nomination. Yup, neither of them are going to get it. Which means it is up to the superdelegates, whether we like it or not. Obama wants the supers to vote with the winners of the popular vote (though he hasn't really told John Kerry or Teddy Kennedy to vote for Hillary). To have them vote with the popular vote is changing the rules, and if I had my druthers, I'd rather change the rules to get rid of proportional delegation, because life is winner take all, people! Democratic Party - Find your SPINE!
- 55-45 - The margin of victory for Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania (with 99% reporting). This is the same 10% that Hillary won by in Ohio, which basically points to Obama being absolutely incapable of mobilizing the Democratic base. Considering that the culmination of the Reverend Wright saga and "bitter" comments really did hurt him amongst "lunch bucket, gun toting, and religious" dems, we could loose large chunks of this group to McCain.
- The Numbers 26 and 19 - These two numbers should strike fear in the hearts of decided and undecided superdelegates everywhere. From the exit polls (which, btw, were skewed in Obama's favor, so one would think these might actually be worse) 26% is the amount of Clinton voters that will support McCain in November if Obama is the nominee, and 19% is the number of people who will not vote at all. Only 50% said they would vote for Obama (by the way, that would be 600,000 votes...lost). On the flip side, 67% of Obama's supporters would vote for Clinton in November. Obviously, fences can be mended, but if you think Obama will have a cake walk to the White House, you are mistaken.
- 13 Days - the amount of time left to campaign before Indiana and North Carolina. I am in political heaven, and Blanche and I are walking down to a Hillary Clinton rally right in the heart of Indianapolis today at 11. Indianapolis will probably go for Obama, but I think it is huge that Hillary is choosing to kick off her major Indiana campaign here.
- 1 (Elizabeth Edwards edition) - Howard Fineman reported on MSNBC that Elizabeth Edwards might be making campaign stops with Hillary in North Carolina, which is odd because the one reason bandied about that John Edwards hadn't endorsed Hillary is that Elisabeth can't stand her. Does this reversal mean Edwards might endorse outright? Will it have an effect in North Carolina? If Hillary can win both Indiana and North Carolina, it is going to look very very bad for Obama
- 1 (John Mellencamp edition) - I do not have a link for it, but I heard Suzanne Malveax report that because John Mellencamp was performing at Obama's rally in Evansville that he was endorsing the candidate. However, what they didn't state is that he is also going to be performing with Hillary Clinton, too. Could he be the smartest one of us all?
The next two weeks are going to be CRAZY in Indiana, and I am looking forward to it like a crack whore needing a fix!
10 comments:
"short sidedness" eh?
I think someone should contest that "not an idiot" claim of yours...
Anonymous: Wow, it takes some balls to comment without an identity.
The fact is no one told John Edwards and Barack Obama to take their names off the ballot in Michigan. They did it to suck up to Iowa and New Hampshire. So, boo hoo. Now they have to face the consequences of their, yes, short sidedness.
Next time show yourself...because it does make you look like an idiot.
LOL..uh oh. You're now an Official Blogger. Receiving snarky Anonymous comments is a tell-tale sign of that.
Welcome to the Club!
I'd like to thank the little people who made all of this possible.
*bows*
:)
The term I believe you're searching for is "shortsightedness." Too bad Spell Check doesn't include a no-such-word check too, eh?
shortsighted
Main Entry:
short·sight·ed
Pronunciation:
\ˈshȯrt-ˌsī-təd\
Function:
adjective
Date:
1622
1 : lacking foresight 2 : nearsighted
— short·sight·ed·ly adverb
— short·sight·ed·ness noun
All the Democratic candidates decided to pull their names from the ballot in Michigan and not to campaign in Florida. Every single candidate but Hil withdrew from the primary in Michigan. They also all agreed that should the state legislators move the primaries, that the DNC would not seat the delegates at the convention.
Hillary agreed to this stipulation; but since the rules only apply to her when she wants them to, she is now calling for those delegates to be seated. Would this be the case if Barack had "won" both of these states and Hil was ahead? I think not. I once had tremendous respect for the woman, but once a Democrat starts using the fear-monger tactics of the Republican playbook to win against colleagues, I draw the line.
Princess Hillary is grasping at straws because someone has dared to challenge her rightful coronation. If anyone is elitist, it's her.
I'm only anonymous because I don't have a google/blogger account. My name is Joe and I'm from New Jersey. I found your blog through fellow "Clintonista" Cooper Lowenthal.
Here is an interesting fact for you. I rec'd a phone call today from a close friend who has supported Obama from the get go. He wanted to let me know that he sent in a sizeable contribution to Hillary today. He thinks the only way for a Democrat to be elected into the White House is for her to win.
Anonymous> First of all, I typed "shortsidedness" first, and since I use Firefox, the spell check caught it as not being a word. So, I adjusted accordingly. I just now typed it in MS Word 2007, and it caught it as well. I even Googled it, and it came back with "Did you mean short sidedness." So, anyway...
Secondly, Chris Dodd an avowed Obamaniac, actually left his name on the ballot, which was a symbolic move to appease New Hampshire in the first place.
Thirdly, Saint Barack has his own issue with the rules declaring that Superdelegates should vote as their state's went, yet, as I stated in my blog, he's hardly telling John Kerry and Teddy Kennedy to vote for Hillary. I highly doubt he told Bob Casey last night to come out for Hillary because she won Pennsylvania.
Finally, the issue with all this is that the people of Michigan and Florida are basically not counting this year because of the Michigan Party and because the Republican Legislature of Florida moved the primary. Why should the people be disenfranchised at the short sidedness (ouch) of their party?
The bottom line is that Howard Dean is a bonehead. He is what happen when you let "hopeful" "visionary" leaders take charge.
Timmy> That's amazing! I hope its a trend.
PA blogger here ... have fun with it. I really wish I had blogged about it more so thank you, thank you, thank you!!
And, I will say your race will be a little different. We didn't get our first Hillary mailing until two weeks prior and that was delivered by hand. The first actual mailing came Monday before the election.
Money matters -- and boy, for a dude who talks about change -- he sure can blow money like no otha!
Go Hillary! I think blogs like yours are going to really make the difference from here on out. I'm finding all the Indiana blogs I can today and urging them to keep at it!
mea culpa
I realize now that he was commenting on my "short sidedness" instead of "shortsightedness." I see that now, and I apologize.
Be that as it may, the fact is, I am much better at spelling and grammar than your average blogger. Indeed, I read and re-read everything I write. For him to pick out that one thing out of an entire blog and to do it anonymously, is still well, not cool. Anyway, I will try to live with the shame...
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